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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures rose more and fell less. Coke and BR rubber rose by more than 3%, while rebar, glass, hot coil, iron ore and Shanghai Bank rose by more than 2%. In terms of decline, the European line of container transportation fell by nearly 3%, while asphalt, alumina and No.20 glue fell by more than 1%.Goldman Sachs: It is expected that the output of OPEC+will still depend on the data, and it is assumed that the output of OPEC+will increase for four consecutive months from next July under the strong demand in summer. It is estimated that India's oil demand will increase by 300,000 barrels per day next year, accounting for nearly 30% of the global oil demand growth.

Foreign media: There was a huge explosion in Damascus, the capital of Syria. According to the latest news from AFP on the 10th, the media reporter heard a huge explosion in Damascus, the capital of Syria, that morning. Agence France-Presse mentioned that just a few hours before the explosion, the British-based Syrian Human Rights Watch reported that since the fall of the Assad regime, Israel has launched about 250 air strikes on Syrian territory.India's SENSEX30 index opened 0.08% higher at 81,575.96 points. Among the constituent stocks, MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA opened 1.15% higher, ADANI PORTS rose 1%, and Indian State Grid rose 0.88%; In terms of decline, Maruti Suzuki opened 0.46% lower, Reliance Industries fell 0.4%, and TITAN fell 0.39%.The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains the interest rate at a 13-year high, suggesting that it has made progress in fighting inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains the key interest rate at a 13-year high to cope with stubborn price pressure, while suggesting that it has made some progress in fighting inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash interest rate unchanged at 4.35% on Tuesday. As widely expected, it has kept the interest rate at this level for more than a year. The Monetary Policy Committee said that "there is some confidence that inflation is moving towards the target in a sustainable way". Australian dollar and policy-sensitive 3-year Australian government bond yields fell. Since the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Australian dollar has fallen by about 3% against the US dollar, while Australian government bonds have risen due to the expectation of interest rate cuts as early as February next year.

Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.Reserve Bank of Australia: Considering the recent data, the Committee's assessment is that monetary policy is still restrictive and is working as expected. In the November forecast, the degree of relief of wage pressure exceeded expectations.The interest rates of 10-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds all went down by about 5bp, while those of 24 interest-bearing treasury bonds went down by 4.9bp to 1.856%, and those of 24 CDB dropped by 5.25bp to 1.9175%.